Tag: Indian Real Estate

Analyzing Indian Real Estate During Election Years

akashAkash Pharande, Managing Director – Pharande Spaces

The political atmosphere in India has a big impact on the property market, just like it does in other countries – especially during general election seasons. Election cycles have had a discernible impact on the real estate market over the last twelve years. What should end users and investors expect after the forthcoming general elections? Let’s examine the behavior of the Indian housing market before and after general elections.

Trends Ahead of the Election

In the past, we have seen that the Indian real estate market tends to slow down in the run-up to general elections. This is because buyers and investors become cautious when there is uncertainty surrounding the results of elections and possible changes to policy. Pre-election data usually shows a trend of lower transaction volumes and reduced rate of property price rises.

For example, the market saw a notable decline in sales and new launches during the 2014 general elections. The top seven cities in India had an almost 30% drop in home sales in the quarters preceding the elections. Similar patterns were seen in 2019, with the primary and secondary markets slowing down as aspiring buyers and investors opted to wait and watch.

real estate

Recovery Following Election

The housing market usually rebounds markedly after elections. Clarity on government policy and restored consumer confidence are often the driving forces behind this rebound. Following the 2014 elections that resulted in the arrival of a stable government, there was a notable upturn in the market. Positive consumer sentiment and increased investment caused an almost 50% increase in sales in the following months, according to reports.

These patterns were repeated in the 2019 elections. Again, the reviving market momentum was supported by the guarantee of political stability. Another factor at play was that people now had confidence in the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, or RERA. By the end of 2019, new investments were flooding the market, not only in the residential space but also in commercial real estate.

Current Market & Future Outlook

This year, the housing market in India has remained resilient even in the period of uncertainty before the general elections. The current government has taken several measures to increase housing demand, infrastructure development, and economic reforms. A general confidence that this government will continue to remain in power has provided considerable protection from the typical pre-election downturn.

After the election, the Indian housing sector has every reason to remain upbeat. The market will definitely rise if the parrty in power can maintain policy and safeguard economic stability. There are also industry expectations that the GST applicable on building supplies may be moderated with upcoming regulations. This would prove to be a big shot in the arm for both developers and their customers, as will help keep property price rises in check.

Apart from that, there are expectations that the availability of financing for the housing sector may improve, and that affordable housing once again becomes a priority sector for the government. All this will certainly contribute to steadily improving housing market dynamics.

Implications for Investors

The post-election phase will deliver very attractive opportunities for both buyers and investors of residential real estate. Once the government announces more measures to boost the market and stabilize the economy further, real estate will rise and yield very significant returns due to price appreciation and increased demand. Such measures will dovetail very well with the growing trend of digitization and transparency in real estate transactions.

In 2021, Indian real estate has gained significant amount of the lost ground: Colliers

Occupier confidence has improved in the latter half of 2021 with occupiers closing large office deals, cementing the resilience of the sector and the underlying importance of offices. Occupiers remain focused on enhancing the well-being and experience of their employees as they plan to return to the office, chasing lucrative leases while realigning long-term plans. Developers are determined towards asset enhancement through requisite retrofit to remain relevant and retain tenants.

“The year 2021 was a watershed moment for India’s real estate sector. Even when the going was tough, the sector not only remained resilient but also emerged stronger than expected. India’s office sector is coming out of the woods, with demand back to pre-record levels. The year 2022 will even be better, even if marred by the new Covid-19 variant. We have now learned to live with uncertainty. Gross absorption in 2022 should be about 15-20% higher than this year as occupier confidence is back in the market. In terms of global capital chasing real estate, the office will continue to remain a dominant sector, but residential and industrial & warehousing will strengthen in 2022 aided by strong business fundamentals,” said Ramesh Nair, CEO, India and Managing Director, Market Development, Asia, Colliers.

From the second half of 2021, technology players and flex space operators have been taking large spaces. Occupiers who had earlier focused on renewing deals are now looking at new leases. As employees return to the workplace, next-generation offices replete with health and wellness features are a top draw for occupiers.

Segments that beat market expectations

During the year, some segments surpassed market expectations, led by a tectonic shift in preferences and behaviour of occupiers, homebuyers and investors. We look at some of the segments that have emerged strongly in 2021.

Flex space growing, but not just in top cities

Flex workspaces are leasing spaces backed by occupiers’ back-to-work plans and pre-commitments. Flex spaces have come to the fore after a gap of a year, to occupy a significant share in leasing at 16-18% in 2021. Total flex stock in metro cities is likely to rise to about 40 million sq feet in 2021. Tier-II cities are witnessing increased growth of flex spaces. Flex spaces stock in tier II cities is estimated to have grown more than two-fold this year to 5.5 million sq feet.

Investments in residential make a comeback

The residential segment saw strong recovery gains led by government stimulus, market-led price discovery, new demand. Investment volumes in the residential sector made a comeback in 2021. In the first nine months of the year, investments in the residential sector stood at USD420 million, surpassing the volumes seen in the whole last year. Investors are seeking a buy-in in the asset class, especially in the near-completion stage. Investments are spurred by renewed residential demand, led by a higher inclination to own homes, low home loan rates and steady prices.

Industrial investments inch towards USD1 bn

The industrial segment is likely to see investments inching towards USD1 billion in 2021, led by large global investors buying ready and greenfield warehousing projects. Since last year, investors have been exploring industrial space. While data centres gained traction this year from developers and investors, this year also saw the maiden investments deal in the life sciences sector.

“Despite a devastating second wave, investments into the real estate sector have been unwavering, especially from global investors. Interestingly, investors are also betting on new-age sectors like life sciences and data centres. As per a recent Colliers survey, industrial and logistics assets will be the most sought-after real estate assets in the APAC region, with more than 20% of investors anticipating capital value gains of 10%-20% in value-add assets in 2022, supported by tailwinds and large-scale economic transformation. This shows the immense potential. Moreover, the centre’s new warehousing policy has the potential to transform the warehousing sector to make it more competitive. Overall, the sector’s resilience and growth will give way to more innovation next year, in accordance with the changing times we live in, says Vimal Nadar, Senior Director and Head of Research, Colliers India.

Overall, the real estate sector will see stakeholders pivoting to different models, resetting to the new way we work, live and entertain. Developers, investors and buyers will work towards bringing in sustainability and cutting carbon emissions. The market will also see gains from sectors such as Electric vehicles, solar panel manufacturing, etc in the coming years.

New demands of buyers: Connectivity, Hospitals

Connectivity plays a major role in the way the real estate market behaves. Infrastructure projects such as highways, distance from airport or railway station, and nearby marketplaces are often seen as the parameters to highlight the positives of a place. However, the importance of proximity to hospitals has increased manifold in the current situation.

“Not just hospitals, people are now more aware of the connectivity and ease of commutation that a project provides. In the current challenging time, people are a bit nervous as they witness the difficulties people face due to the remote location. We have always maintained that proximity to civilization is a must; all our projects are located at locations that provide faster access to most basic and important aspects of a relaxed life,” says Dhiraj Jain, Director, Mahagun Group.

People ask for the time distance against the physical distance; the most crucial aspect is that the project should be in an overcrowded place where travelling a short distance takes time. “Importance of reaching to a place faster has always been on the minds of the buyers. We can say that the kind of emergency people are facing now is unprecedented; it was obvious that the inquiries will now be directed towards this aspect followed by the facilities being given inside the premises,” says Vijay Verma, CEO, Sunworld.

The latest target of the real estate sector Post-Covid is modifying the projects with amenities and services that help provide a healthy lifestyle to the residents. “The projects are being planned with consumers’ needs in mind, who have become concerned about the health quotient of their living spaces. Consider a residential project with a world-class hospital or a housing project with weekly doctor visits for routine check-ups. People’s needs have changed dramatically, which has been affected largely by the global pandemic that has afflicted them. Almost all of them have international experience and have seen some of the most innovative housing schemes in other countries that promote a healthier way of life,” says Ashok Gupta, CMD, Ajnara India Ltd.

The development of infrastructure and connectivity has always been a major factor in attracting buyers and investors. Today’s buyers want not only well-planned developments but also a quick commute, so residential and commercial projects near expressways and link roads are more likely to attract interest. “With consumers finding it hard to invest in a property that is away from city centres, improved connectivity is the only solution that a region to emerge as a great alternative for people pursue their dreams,” says Harvinder Singh Sikka, MD, Sikka Group.

People are concerned about the health facilities offered within the projects, and the availability of medical assistance within a safe perimeter, after learning from the current pandemic. “As a result of the pandemic, there is a greater need to live in areas that will provide you with a safe environment. It also occurred to residents that they are not healthy even inside their homes unless the community takes the necessary health precautions. As people try to move into housing societies, this increased sense of security and safety is contributing to a rise in inquiries,” says Yash Miglani, MD, Migsun Group.

“Developers have realized that including wellness facilities in a community housing project is no longer a luxury; in reality, amenities such as fitness centers, indoor game courts, swimming pools, dedicated rooms for card and board games, and dedicated spaces for indoor table games are now needed to gain acceptance from today’s homebuyers,” adds Kushagr Ansal, Director, Ansal Housing.

Just last year, the trend of searching for projects that meet the connectivity criterion picked up steam. Developers have come up with projects in convenient places with amenities that are in line with the need to combat medical emergencies. As a result, the residential sector gained traction in Q1 2021 (January-March 2021), with more new launches and sales. According to a recent JLL survey, new launches in Delhi NCR more than doubled sequentially in Q1 2021. In terms of demand, revenues increased by 23% as compared to the previous quarter. Residential sales in the top seven cities recovered to more than 90% of the levels seen in Q1 2020 (pre-Covid) in Q1 2021 (Jan-March). Buyers favored projects by developers with demonstrated execution skills.

“People are also looking for projects that allow them to walk or cycle to work to stay active and productive. Buyers will want a home that meets their fitness and health requirements. This healthy lifestyle pattern does not necessarily imply that people will opt for higher-end goods, but it does indicate that they will be more aware of the project’s value proposition. Buyers must be provided with the best possible amenities that will assist them in maintaining their wellbeing. Demand is rising across the board in the residential real estate market,” says Dhiraj Bora, Head Marketing & Communication, Paramount Group.

Realtors seek relaxations and Government support for business continuity

The discontinuation of the stamp duty benefit by the Maharashtra Government has been a dampener on the real estate market which was just beginning to show signs of recovery in the last two quarters. To add to it, the lockdown announced by the State Government on the account of the resurgence in the Covid-19 cases have slowed-down the construction and sales activity across the entire real estate sector. Real estate developers in the city are now seeking certain relaxations in lockdown-like curbs imposed by the State Government till 1st May 2021.

Real estate developers’ body CREDAI-MCHI had written to the Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai to allow engineers and architects to visit construction sites of realtors to which the MCGM has given a nod. CREDAI-MCHI had also demanded that developers should be allowed to transport labourers from labour camps in private buses to construction sites.

Pritam Chivukula
Mr. Pritam Chivukula, Co-Founder & Director, Tridhaatu Realty and Hon. Secretary, CREDAI-MCHI

Speaking regarding the same, Mr. Pritam Chivukula, Co-Founder & Director, Tridhaatu Realty and Hon. Secretary, CREDAI-MCHI said, “The construction activity requires constant support and guidance of supervisors, architects and engineers at the site. Hence we had requested the Government to allow them at the construction sites with proper safety protocols. We thank the Government for giving the nod to allow supervisors, architects and engineers and also permitting construction activities at sites where labourers are already present. The new curbs won’t affect the large and medium-sized developers as they are already taking the necessary precautions at the sites. Although this will affect the small developers and also the redevelopment projects as they do not have enough space for labour camps. The permission to transport labourers from labour camps to construction sites adhering to safety guidelines will help the smaller developers to complete and deliver the projects on time and thus sustain the demand.”

“We are in talks with local urban bodies for conducting free tests for the labourers. For project sites in the outskirts of the city, we are planning to tie-up with private organizations to conduct the Covid tests. Most of the labourers are in the age groups from 20-40 and as per the GOI directive, the vaccination below the age of 45 has not been initiated yet. Hence we are writing to the Government to grant permission to conduct the vaccination for these labourers on priority and if feasible to conduct the vaccination drive on the construction site itself,” Mr. Chivukula further added.

CREDAI has announced it will provide free vaccination to over 2.5 crore construction workers at the sites of its over 13,000 developer members across 217 Indian cities and towns.

Apex realtors body NAREDCO too have demanded support from the Government for the continuation of the business as the drastic increase in the number of new Covid cases could adversely affect the demand for residential real estate.

Ashok Mohanani, President -NAREDCO Maharashtra
Ashok Mohanani, President -NAREDCO Maharashtra

Mr. Ashok Mohanani – President, NAREDCO Maharashtra said, “Although both the Central and State Government have taken ample measures to support the real estate sector in the past few months of this pandemic crisis, they need to ensure that the momentum continues as it is the second largest employment generator. The current lockdown has already played a spoiler on the festive spirit as we have witnessed muted sales on the occasion of Gudi Padwa. It would be difficult to sustain the demand if adequate Government support is not provided to the developers. We have requested the Government to allow the vaccination drive for labourers between the age-group of 20-45 years as most of the labourers fall in that age category. We also request to expedite the Covid tests as it is taking long to get the reports. The daily vaccination doses should also be increased to mitigate the risk factor. We are working closely with all the NAREDCO members and are adhering to all the necessary Government guidelines. Labourers are the most vital and integral part of real estate and taking utmost care of them is our paramount responsibility. Addressing the issue of reverse migration, we are ensuring that proper accommodation along with food is provided to the labourers at the sites and regular sanitization of the construction sites are done. We are also conducting regular health check-ups and vaccination awareness programs for the workers. We have made the Antigen test mandatory for all the migrant workers who are coming back from their hometown as per the Government guidelines. We are ensuring that they complete their tests before joining the construction sites,”

“We request the Government to ensure continuous supply of raw materials so that the construction at the sites does not get hampered. The developer community too are chalking out plans to ensure business continuity and sustained sales momentum through various technology and digital mediums,” Mr. Mohanani further added.

Anuj Khetan - Director, Vijay Khetan Group
Anuj Khetan – Director, Vijay Khetan Group

Builders are ensuring that the second wave of the pandemic does not spark another wave of reverse migration as this may reverse the gains made during the last two quarters.

Vijay Khetan Group is providing paid leaves to all the eligible workers for vaccination. Mr. Anuj Khetan, Director, Vijay Khetan Group said, “We have always prioritized the health and safety of our workers at all our different construction sites. We have arranged for hygienic boarding and lodging on site for our workers along with distribution of face masks and sanitizers. The Covid 19 pandemic, while draws the world’s attention on the importance of vaccines, we have ensured to give paid leave to all the eligible workers for vaccination. Also, for the workers, we are getting RT PCR tests done as per the government guidelines. We are maintaining thorough sanitization at all our sites for the safety of our workers and stakeholders.”

How Franchise based Asset Light Brokerage Models can Redefine Indian Real Estate

New Delhi, August 18, 2020: Propelled by a large population, a rapid & consistent rise in urbanization & a boom in the middle-income households with higher disposable income, there is large aggregate demand for real estate properties. In addition, other macroeconomic factors such as a reduction in home loan rates, correction in the value of rupee, attractive payment plans by developers to lure homebuyers & flight towards more income-generating hard assets such as Real estate are further driving the market infusing it with strong momentum.

However, an Achilles’ heels of Indian Real Estate is that it still remains highly unorganized with a large number of transactions taking place through individual brokers alongside small & mid-sized enterprises. Although small brokers have a strong footing in their local markets, their unstructured nature, institutional support deficiency & poor technological infrastructure is inhibiting their profitability. In a post-COVID world, when the role of technology and digital marketing will further rise exponentially, a lack of such resources might be detrimental to overall growth.

A viable solution to reverse the scenario lies in building asset-light franchise models that are underpinned on symbiotic sharing of resources & market know-how, credible institutional support, regularly qualified lead flows and prudent profit sharing between the franchisee and the parent company. Leveraging the infrastructure of the parent company, franchisees can successfully build asset-light businesses & grow fast without incurring high capital & operational expenses.

To grab the opportunity in the current market and grow, one requires a more sophisticated approach. From a broker, one has to transform into a sophisticated consultant. These consultants are professionally trained to be more service-oriented & customer-centric.

Similarly, they have to work in a networked fashion in an organized setup to step up their game and attain higher profitability.

“To bring about a well-rounded & effective approach towards building higher profit margins for brokers, 360 Realtors, one of India’s largest Institutional Channel Partners (ICP), launched 360 EDGE Franchise, a one-stop-realty hub where customers can Buy and Invest in both Residential/ Commercial real estate projects across 20 cities of India.” Quoted Mr. Ankit Kansal, Founder & MD, 360 Realtors.

As a part of the partnership, brokers partnering with 360 Edge gain access to business blueprints & strategies to revamp their business models & leapfrog towards a steeper profit trajectory.

The 360 Edge Franchise comprises of a team of like-minded, entrepreneurial and trained Business Associates who work on a commission-sharing model. These business associates work full-time with the Franchise Owner & pay an Annual fee to get associated with the Franchise office. This business model is both scalable asset-light which allows easy expansion of unlimited growth. It creates a win-win situation and an apt and interdependent working environment for all the stakeholders involved.

Shining more light on how 360 Edge will transform the Real Estate brokerage space, Mr. Sahil Kapoor, National Head – 360 Edge said, “The franchise will get to use the credible brand name of 360 Realtors, which will help in easy brand credibility & brand recall. In the capacity of a franchise, one would be able to market and sell projects from around numerous Grade-A developers, with whom 360 Realtors has tie-ups. Also, in the post-COVID world, digital channels will be instrumental in driving marketing. 360 Realtors has invested heavily in developing cutting-edge technology and digital capabilities, which can be leveraged by franchises owners. Backed by 360 quality leads, franchises can generate more business.”