Tag: Anuj Puri

Karnataka Stamp Duty Cut – Limited Impact

Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants,By Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants

Emulating its immediate neighbour Maharashtra which saw major boost in sales due to limited-period stamp duty cuts last year, Karnataka decided to reduce the stamp duty charges to 3% for homes valued between INR 35 lakh to INR 45 lakh. This was revealed during the current state budget announcements..

While the move does carry a feel-good factor and will strike the right sentiment chord, it is not likely to give a significant boost to housing sales in Bengaluru on the lines of what we saw in Mumbai. Maharashtra had reduced stamp duty for properties across all budget segments – not just one category. The fact is that housing demand in Bengaluru is largely skewed towards the mid segment, involving properties priced within the INR 50 lakh to INR 1 Crore budget range. For these properties, the stamp duty charges remain the same at nearly 5%.

As per ANAROCK Research, Bengaluru presently has total unsold stock of nearly 59,350 units across all budget segments. Of this, just 24% is within the INR 45 lakh price bracket, while 64% is within INR 45 lakh to INR 1.5 Cr budget range. In other words, the cut within INR 35 lakh to INR 45 lakh budget may not have a significant impact.

Rental Appreciation Trumps Capital Price Growth in Top Luxury Markets Since 2014

Mumbai: Amidst various industry reforms in the last seven years, multiple new trends emerged in the Indian residential real estate market. Strikingly, housing rentals in key luxury markets saw better y-o-y growth between 2014-2020 than average capital prices in the same localities.

Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants says, “The average rentals for a house of minimum 2,000 sq. ft. size in the top 7 cities’ key luxury hotspots rose anywhere between 17% to 26% in 2020, as compared to 2014. In the same period, average capital prices in these micro-markets saw a maximum rise of 15% – and some even saw a marginal dip.”

To illustrate – ANAROCK data indicates that the average monthly rentals in Gurugram’s Golf Course Road increased by 17% in 2020 over 2014, while average property prices in the same period declined marginally – from INR 13,167 per sq. ft. in 2014 to INR 13,150 per sq. ft. in 2020.

Among the top 7 cities, Hyderabad’s HITECH City saw the highest rental appreciation of 26% between 2014 and 2020; in the same period, average property prices saw a 12% jump.

“ANAROCK data also reveals that from 2014 to 2020, rental prices in the top luxury markets saw consistent y-o-y growth – averaging between 3-6% annually,” says Mr Puri. “In contrast, capital appreciation in this period either remained range-bound or varied each year. Some years saw a decent yearly rise, even as high as 7%, while prices dropped by approx. -5% in other years – particularly in 2017, when many micro-markets saw capital prices plunge against the preceding year.”

In 2017, various structural reforms like RERA and GST were implemented. After this period, most localities only saw a marginal capital price rise averaging between 1-3% – while rental markets continued their growth run.

Due to the pandemic, 2020 was an outlier year for Indian rental markets, with most luxury localities recording either no change in average monthly rentals (compared to the preceding year) or seeing some decline. Without a doubt, COVID-19 impacted luxury rental markets amidst the growing WFH culture. Average property prices showed little or no change in 2020 over 2019.

Top Luxury Hotspots – Rental vs Capital Price Changes

The luxury residential rental market saw a setback due to COVID-19, but now appears to have recovered with demand for rental luxury properties back almost to pre-COVID levels. Monthly rentals in some of the localities have begun heading north. With vaccinations now rolling out and positivity returning, these rental market will pick up new momentum.

Some of the prominent luxury markets in the top 7 cities that performed well between 2014 and 2020 may see further short to mid-term boosts:

In Bengaluru, the luxury residential hotspot JP Nagar saw avg. monthly rentals appreciate by 24% in 2020 over 2014, while capital prices in the period rose by 8%. Likewise, Rajajinagar saw rental prices rise by 22%, and capital prices by 15%.

In MMR, luxury rentals in Tardeo rose 23% in this period, while capital prices increased by 8%. Similarly, in Worli, the average monthly rentals for a minimum 2,000 sq. ft. area home rose by 21%, while capital prices rose by 6%.
In NCR, rentals in luxury hotspot Golf Course Road increased by 17% while capital prices saw a meagre decline. In contrast, Golf Course Extension Road saw rentals increase by 18% and capital prices by 7% in this period.

In Chennai, luxury rentals in Anna Nagar rose 17% in this period, while capital prices increased by 10%. Similarly, in Kotturpuram, the average monthly rentals rose by 19% while capital prices rose by 7%.

In Hyderabad, the luxury residential hotspot Jubilee Hills saw avg. monthly rentals appreciate by 15% in 2020 over 2014, while capital prices in this period rose 10%. HITECH City saw the maximum rental price rise of 26%, while capital prices increased by 12%.

In Pune, the rentals in Koregaon Park rose 19% in this period, while capital prices increased by 14%. Similarly, in Prabhat Road, the average monthly rentals rose by 23% while capital prices rose by just 5%.

In Kolkata, luxury home rentals in Alipore rose 20% in 2020 against 2014, while capital prices increased by 13%. Similarly, in Ballygunge, the average monthly rentals rose 19% while capital prices rose by 13%.

Avg. Monthly Rentals: Top Luxury Markets (For 2,000 sq. ft. area)
City Micro Market 2014 (INR) 2020 (INR) % Appreciation (2020 vs 2014)
Bangalore JP Nagar 37,000 46,000 24%
Bangalore Rajaji Nagar 46,000 56,000 22%
Chennai Anna Nagar 48,000 56,000 17%
Chennai Kotturpuram 62,000 74,000 19%
Hyderabad Jubilee Hills 47,000 54,000 15%
Hyderabad HiTech City 42,000 53,000 26%
Kolkata Alipore 50,000 60,000 20%
Kolkata Ballygunge 74,000 88,000 19%
MMR Tardeo 2,20,000 2,70,000 23%
MMR Worli 1,65,000 2,00,000 21%
NCR Golf Course Ext. Rd 42,500 50,000 18%
NCR Golf Course Rd 60,000 70,000 17%
Pune Koregaon Park 50,000 59,500 19%
Pune Prabhat Road 52,000 64,000 23%

Source: ANAROCK Research

Avg. Capital Prices: Top Luxury Micro Markets
City Micro Markets 2014 (INR/sft.) 2020 (INR/sft.) % Appreciation (2020 vs 2014)
Bangalore JP Nagar 5,259 5,698 8%
Bangalore RajajiNagar 11,534 13,300 15%
Chennai Anna Nagar 10,288 11,300 10%
Chennai Kotturpuram 12,650 13,500 7%
Hyderabad Jubilee Hills 6,300 6,950 10%
Hyderabad HiTech City 5,088 5,675 12%
Kolkata Alipore 11,500 13,000 13%
Kolkata Ballygunge 10,005 11,350 13%
MMR Tardeo 38,717 41,862 8%
MMR Worli 36,388 38,560 6%
NCR Golf Course Ext. Rd 7,778 8,300 7%
NCR Golf Course Rd 13,167 13,150 0%
Pune Koregaon Park 9,794 11,128 14%
Pune Prabhat Road 11,850 12,500 5%

Source: ANAROCK Research

Luxury Housing Sales in Delhi-NCR Rise in 2020, Supply Decreases…

Despite the pandemic, luxury housing (priced >INR 1.5 Cr) in Delhi-NCR performed reasonably well in 2020. Of the total housing sales of ~23,220 units that NCR saw last year, luxury housing comprised over 4% share – increasing marginally over 2019, when it was 3% (of 46,910 units). Noida witnessed total housing sales of ~3,240 units in 2020 of which luxury comprised a 9% share. Gurgaon sold a total of ~7,240 units of which luxury homes comprised a 5% share.

While there was a marginal rise in overall sales, new supply of luxury homes dropped to 9% of total 18,540 units in 2020 (from 12% or 35,280 units in 2019. Noida, Gurgaon and Ghaziabad were the only cities in NCR that saw new luxury supply in 2020.

“Affordable and mid segment housing continued to drive homebuyer demand in 2020, but luxury sales also saw some momentum in NCR despite the pandemic,” says Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants. “This is also because the impact of the pandemic on this buyer-class was not as significant as other budget categories. The discounts doled out by developers further made such properties more lucrative especially for the ‘real’ buyers who are prioritizing their home bases and willing to spend accordingly. Moreover, we are also seeing good traction from the NRIs amidst good deals and discounts and favourable rupee vs dollar value.”

Demand-Supply Dynamics

As per ANAROCK research, NCR in 2020 saw total housing sales of more than 23,220 units of which nearly 4% was in the luxury segment priced >INR 1.5 crore onwards. Back in 2019, NCR saw total housing sales of 46,910 units of which luxury units comprised just 3% overall share.

  • Gurgaon saw maximum housing sales of approx. 7,240 units in entire 2020 of which luxury sales comprised 5% share. In 2019, of the total 13,240 units sold, luxury sales comprised 4% share.
  • Greater Noida saw housing sales of approx. 6,950 units in 2020 of which luxury segment consisted of 2% share. In 2019, total sales here was 15,150 units of which luxury share was just 3%.
  • Noida witnessed housing sales of approx. 3,240 units in 2020 of which luxury comprised 9% share. Back in 2019 the region saw sale of 6,620 units of which luxury sales had same 9% share.
  • Ghaziabad saw housing sales of 3,780 units in 2020 of which luxury share was just 1% while in 2019 the city saw total sales of 7,860 units of which there were no luxury sales reported.
  • Faridabad too saw limited sales in luxury segment. Of the total sales of 970 units in 2020 luxury comprised just 1% share while in 2019 of the total 1,630 units sold luxury had just 1% share.

From the supply perspective, NCR saw new launches of approx. 18,540 units in 2020 of which just 9% was within the luxury segment priced >INR 1.5 Cr. While in 2019, as many as 35,280 units were launched of which luxury comprised 12% share.

  • Gurgaon saw maximum housing launches of approx. 11,180 units in entire 2020 of which luxury segment comprised 10% share. In 2019, of the total 19,350 units launched, luxury comprised 14% share.
  • Greater Noida saw housing launches of approx. 1,820 units in 2020 of which luxury segment saw no new launches. In 2019, total launches here was 4,090 units of which luxury share was whopping 16%.
  • Noida witnessed housing launches of approx. <1000 units in 2020 of which luxury comprised whopping 28% share while back in 2019 the region saw supply of 2,950 units of which luxury had 18% share.
  • Ghaziabad saw housing supply of <500 units in 2020 of which more than half was in the luxury segment while in 2019 the city saw total supply of 2,430 units of which there was no new supply in the luxury category.
  • Faridabad saw no new launches in the luxury segment in both 2019 and 2020. The total launches in 2020 were 3,050 units while in 2019 it was 2,860 units.